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PeV ν and PeV γ Without New Particles: Classical Budgets vs. Future–Mass Projection (FMP)

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14 September 2025

Posted:

16 September 2025

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Abstract
The IceCube discovery of a diffuse astrophysical neutrino flux up to the PeV scale and the LHAASO detection of ultrahigh-energy (UHE) γ-rays up to ∼PeV pose tight constraints on Galactic accelerators. In standard microphysics, diffusive shock acceleration (DSA) in finite-age sources is typically time- or loss-limited. We show that the Future–Mass Projection (FMP) framework—a causal, future-conditioned gravitational response calibrated on the Milky Way (MW)—provides a disciplined multiplicative boost (× √ D to ×D) to the classical budget, sufficient to lift ordinary environments over the thresholds required by PeV ν and PeV γ. With MW-validated values D(R0)≈1.46 and D(20–25 kpc)≈2.5–2.9, a representative Solar-circle SNR reaches Eν,max≃0.9–1.1 PeV (vs. 0.75 PeV classical), and outer-disk sites reach Eν,max ≃ 1.2–2.0 PeV. For a conservative molecular-cloud shock (J2108+5157–like), Eγ,max rises from ∼0.27 PeV (classical) to ∼0.45–0.73 PeV with FMP; for a moderate setup, from 1.26 PeV to ∼2.1–3.4 PeV. The program yields falsifiable predictions (radial trends, MC/CGM correlations, and a gentle R(z) drift).
Keywords: 

1. Context and Aim

IceCube established a diffuse astrophysical neutrino flux with deposited energies from 30 TeV to 2 PeV and an approximately isotropic distribution.1 UHE γ -rays up to 1.4 PeV have been reported by LHAASO from multiple Galactic sources, including enigmatic cases like J2108+5157 with no obvious accelerator counterpart.2 Our aim is to quantify how much “headroom” is missing in classical Hillas/DSA estimates and whether FMP can supply just enough to reach the observed PeV scales without invoking new particle species.

2. Classical Budget in Brief

Confinement and timescale limits give
E max ( conf ) Z e B R c 0.9 Z B μ G R kpc EeV ,
E max ( time ) E max ( conf ) β , β u s / c ,
with hadronic yields E ν 0.05 E p and E γ ( 0.1 ± ) E p for p p interactions (spectrum-dependent).3

3. FMP in One Page

FMP augments the gravitational source with a causal, future-conditioned contribution T μ ν ( F ) . In the Newtonian limit:
2 Φ = 4 π G [ ρ b + ρ F ] , ρ F ( x , t ) = 0 K ( τ ) Π x , t + τ | I t d τ .
On galaxy scales the effect is captured by
v c 2 ( R ) = D ( R ) v b 2 ( R ) , D ( R ) 1 + Ξ d ( k 1 / R ) ,
with a three-scale representation and a scaled outer component (“Plan B”) tied to the disk length R d . Milky Way fits (disk+bulge+gas+explicit CGM) yield D ( 8.178 kpc ) 1.46 and D ( 20 - 25 kpc ) 2.5 2.9 . Thus free-fall/escape/shock speeds scale as u s ( FMP ) D u s ( b ) , implying
E max ( time ) | FMP D E max ( time ) , E max ( loss / age ) | FMP D E max ( loss / age ) .

4. Case 1: PeV Neutrinos from Solar-Circle and Outer-Disk Accelerators

We adopt a representative SNR/superbubble near the Solar circle (classical): B = 100 μ G , R = 10 pc , u s = 5000 km s 1 ( β 0.0167 ). Then E max , p ( time ) 15 PeV and E ν , max 0.75 PeV. With FMP at R 0 : D 1.21 , D 1.46 giving E ν , max 0.91 –1.10 PeV. In the outer disk ( D 1.65 , D 2.7 ): E ν , max 1.24 –2.03 PeV.
Figure 1. Neutrino maximum energy (PeV) for a representative Galactic accelerator: classical vs. FMP at the Solar circle and in the outer disk. Bars show time-limited and loss-limited scalings.
Figure 1. Neutrino maximum energy (PeV) for a representative Galactic accelerator: classical vs. FMP at the Solar circle and in the outer disk. Bars show time-limited and loss-limited scalings.
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5. Case 2: PeV γ from Molecular-Cloud Shocks (J2108+5157-like)

For a conservative cloud-shock setup (C1): E max , p 2.7 PeV E γ , max 0.27 PeV (insufficient for 0.5 PeV). FMP (outer-like) lifts this to 0.45 PeV (time-limited) or 0.73 PeV (loss-limited). For a moderate setup (C2): E γ , max 1.26 PeV (classical) becomes 2.08 –3.40 PeV with FMP.
Figure 2. Gamma-ray maximum energy (PeV) for two molecular-cloud shock setups (C1 conservative, C2 moderate): classical vs. FMP.
Figure 2. Gamma-ray maximum energy (PeV) for two molecular-cloud shock setups (C1 conservative, C2 moderate): classical vs. FMP.
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Figure 3. Trend of E γ , max with D in the time-limited regime for C1 and C2. A modest D 1.3 –1.7 already bridges the LHAASO threshold in conservative cases.
Figure 3. Trend of E γ , max with D in the time-limited regime for C1 and C2. A modest D 1.3 –1.7 already bridges the LHAASO threshold in conservative cases.
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6. Numerical Summary

Case 1: Neutrinos Scenario E ν , max (PeV)
Classical (Solar circle) 0.75
FMP time-limited (Solar circle) 0.91
FMP loss-limited (Solar circle) 1.10
FMP time-limited (Outer disk) 1.24
FMP loss-limited (Outer disk) 2.03
Case 2: Gamma rays Scenario E γ , max (PeV)
C1: Classical 0.27
C1: FMP time-limited 0.45
C1: FMP loss-limited 0.73
C2: Classical 1.26
C2: FMP time-limited 2.08
C2: FMP loss-limited 3.40

7. Discussion and Falsifiability

Key point. FMP does not alter microphysics; it gently deepens the effective potential where the baryon field is predictably convergent (disks/MCs/CGM), boosting u s by D and—indirectly—compression and B. This supplies just enough headroom for PeV ν and sub-PeV/PeV γ without exotic particles. Predictions: (i) Radial trend—outer-disk environments should more readily achieve PeVatron conditions than inner-disk sites of otherwise similar microphysics. (ii) Environment—correlations with CGM/molecular-cloud density and pre-merger/streaming flows (higher Mach numbers). (iii) Cosmic drift—a mild R ( z ) evolution implies weak epoch-dependence of the most extreme attainable energies.

References

  1. IceCube Collaboration, Science 342, 1242856 (2013), doi: 10.1126/science.1242856; PRL 113, 101101 (2014). [CrossRef]
  2. LHAASO Collaboration, Nature 594, 33–36 (2021), doi: 10.1038/s41586-021-03498-z; see also A&A 673, A75 (2023) and subsequent J2108+5157 studies.
  3. S. R. Kelner, F. A. Aharonian, V. V. Bugayov, Phys. Rev. D 74, 034018 (2006). [CrossRef]
  4. FMP framework: covariant & Newtonian formulation; galaxy-scale D(R) with scaled outer response; MW calibrations; R(z) drift (project preprints).
1
Science 342, 1242856 (2013), doi: 10.1126/science.1242856; PRL 113, 101101 (2014), doi: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.113.101101.
2
Nature 594, 33–36 (2021), doi: 10.1038/s41586-021-03498-z; see also A&A 673, A75 (2023) and later work on J2108+5157.
3
Kelner, Aharonian, Bugayov, PRD 74, 034018 (2006), doi: 10.1103/PhysRevD.74.034018.
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