Submitted:
02 December 2025
Posted:
02 December 2025
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Abstract

Keywords:
1. Introduction
2. Case Study
3. Methodology
4. Typological Identification According to Energy Demand
4.1. Data Processing and Verification
4.1.1. Data Quality Control
- Values outside the range of -7 °C to 25 °C during winter 2024/2025 and from 7 °C to 47 °C in summer 2025. These ranges correspond to ±5 °C relative to the absolute minimum and maximum temperatures recorded by the city’s AEMET station during the period in question [61].
- Hourly records with variations exceeding 9 °C compared to the previous one.
- Hourly values repeated for five or more consecutive hours.
- Hourly values that deviate more than four standard deviations from the average of the remaining stations.
4.1.2. Data Gap Filling
- Days with missing data for at least four consecutive hours in more than half of the stations.
- Days with at least nine consecutive hours without records coinciding with the period when daily maximum or minimum temperatures are typically observed.
4.1.3. Statistical Analysis of the Dataset
4.2. Calculation and Analysis of HDD and CDD
- Balanced total thermal demand: the mean total demand is similar between climate periods (mean HDDtotal = 645 °C·day vs. mean CDDtotal = 657 °C·day), indicating that the average energy required for heating and cooling falls within the same order of magnitude (approximately 600–700 °C·day), with only a 2% difference between them.
- Coherent day/night distribution: all stations exhibit higher HDD at night than during the day, and conversely, higher CDD during the day than at night. This behavior is expected due to nocturnal temperature decreases and diurnal increases. Consequently, the highest energy demands occur during the most thermally severe periods: winter nights and summer days. The energy demand values reflect these constrasts, with summer days and winter nights (CDDday and HDDnight: 700–900 °C·day) showing nearly twice the demand observed during summer nights and winter days (HDDday and CDDnight: 325–550 °C·day).
- High spatial and temporal variability: a significant variability in energy demand is observed across stations, with differences exceeding 10% in all periods, being more pronounced in summer (CDDtotal: 15%) than in winter (HDDtotal: 11%). This variability also exhibits opposite behaviors depending on the season: in winter, dispersion is greater during the day (HDDday: 22%), whereas in summer it intensifies at night (CDDnight: 28%).
- More pronounced day–night contrast in summer: the mean difference in demand between daytime and nighttime is larger in summer (411 °C·day) than in winter (278 °C·day), indicating higher thermal stability during the colder season. The minimum difference is 177 °C·day in winter and 347 °C·day in summer. However, the relative difference between the maximum and minimum values across the local network is higher in winter (53%) than in summer (29%), highlighting substantial spatial variability in heating demand across neighborhoods.
5. Typological Identification According to LCZs
5.1. Identification Within the City
- LCZ 5: mid-rise buildings (3–9 floors) in open areas with vegetation, located mainly in the central, southern, and western sectors of the city.
- LCZ 6: low-rise buildings (1–3 floors) in open and vegetated areas, distributed across the urban periphery.
- LCZ 3: compact urban areas with low-rise buildings and sparse vegetation, found in the city center and in some northern and southern districts.
- LCZ 2: dense mid-rise buildings with low vegetation cover, concentrated in the central core.
- LCZ 8: paved surfaces or extensive low-rise constructions with little vegetation, present in industrial zones in the north, west, and south.
- LCZ 9: small or medium-sized buildings dispersed within natural areas featuring abundant vegetation and scattered trees, mainly in the southeast.
- LCZ A: areas with dense tree cover, corresponding to forested sectors or specific urban parks.
- LCZ B, C, and D: sparsely distributed trees, shrubs, and low vegetation or grass with limited tree cover, respectively, typically occurring heterogeneously in agricultural zones or urban parks. The identification model exhibited some difficulty distinguishing between classes B and C due to their similarity and spatial proximity within the city.
5.2. Identification Within the Footprints
- The predominant land cover types, with percentages reaching 84% and 73%, correspond to peripheral rural areas (station “a*”) and to urban expansion zones located along the city’s periphery (station “r”).
- Footprints with land cover percentages between 50% and 70% are predominantly characterized by LCZ D or LCZ C, combined with LCZ 6 urban areas. The presence of these footprints has been identified in peripheral sectors, specifically in the eastern (station "b"), northern (station "e"), and southern (station "p") regions.
- The highest percentages of built-up types (>90%) occur in the stations located within the urban center (“k”, “m”, “n”, and “o”).
6. Correlation Between Previous Typological Identifications: LCZ and Energy Demand
6.1. Globally Correlation Between Climate Periods
- Group A (stations “c”, “d”, “e”, “f”, “g”, “i”, “k”, “l”, “m”, and “n”): The analysis of these stations indicates that the cooling demand values are, on average, 6% higher (40 °C·day) than the heating demand. The smallest difference (1%) is recorded at station “n”, while the largest (12%) occurs at “c”. This group corresponds to areas located in the central and northern parts of the city, characterized by a high presence of built-up LCZ types and dominant LCZ classes 2 and 3.
- Group B (stations “b”, “h”, “j”, “o”, “p”, “q”, and “r”): These stations exhibit heating demand values that are, on average, 4% higher (28 °C·day) than the cooling demand. The largest difference (11%) is observed at station “r”, whereas the difference at station “b” is negligible. These stations are located in peripheral areas in the eastern, western, and southern regions of the city, characterized by a substantial presence of vegetation and the predominance of LCZ classes D and 6.
6.2. Hourly Correlation Between Climate Periods
- Group A (stations “c”, “b”, “d”, “e”, and “g”): This group represents the warmest daytime areas. Cooling demand is, on average, 5% above the mean value of the local network, with individual increases ranging from 3% at station “e” to 8% at “c”. Conversely, heating demand is, on average, 8% below that of the network, with reductions ranging from 4% at station “b” to 14% at “c”. These stations correspond to peripheral neighborhoods mainly in the northern part of the city, featuring a balanced presence of land cover and built-up LCZ types, with dominant classes LCZ 3 and 6.
- Group B (stations “j”, “l”, “m”, “n”, “r”, “h”, “k”, and “o”): This group represents the coolest daytime areas, with an average cooling demand that is 4% below the mean of the local network. The range of values is from 1% at station “h” to 7% at “r”. Likewise, the heating demand remains 6% above that of the network, spanning from 1% at “o” to 10% at “n”. This group comprises highly diverse areas but mainly includes central urban zones with high percentages of built-up LCZ types (74–99%) and dominant LCZ classes 2, 6, and 5.
- Group C (stations “f”, “g”, “i”, “k”, “l”, “m”, and “n”): These stations represent the warmest nighttime areas. Cooling demand exceeds the network average by 9%, with individual deviations between 4% at station “m” and 13% at “f”. In contrast, heating demand falls 5% below the network mean value, with individual reductions spanning from 1% at “g” to 8% at “m”. These stations are primarily situated within the dense and compact urban center, characterized by a mean built-up LCZ proportion of 83% and dominant classes 2 and 3.
- Group D (stations “b”, “p”, “q”, and “r”): This group corresponds to the coolest nighttime areas, with a cooling demand that is 13% less than the mean value of the network. The individual decreases fall between 7% at station “b” and 19% at “r”. Heating demand is, on average, 6% above that of the local network, with individual increases ranging from 2% at “q” to 10% at “p” and “b”. These stations are located in peripheral, sparsely urbanized neighborhoods, where land cover LCZ types account for 44–73%, and dominant classes are LCZ D and 6.
6.3. Seasonal Correlation Between Hourly Daytime and Nighttime Periods
- Group A (common to both seasons) (stations “k”, “l”, “m”, and “n”): These stations correspond to areas with relatively cool days and warm nights. Daytime heating demand is, on average, 7% above the overall mean (494 °C·day), with individual increases between 4% (stations “m” and “k”) and 10% (“n”). In contrast, daytime cooling demand falls 3.5% below the network mean value (400 °C·day), with individual reductions ranging from 1% at “k” to 6% at “m”. At nighttime, heating demand is, on average, 6.5% below the mean (772 °C·day), ranging from 5% at “n” to 8% at “m”. Cooling demand is 8% above the overall mean (411 °C·day), with increases from 4% at “m” to 10% at “n”. These stations are located in the dense, compact urban core, with low vegetation cover, a mean built-up LCZ proportion of 92%, and dominant LCZ class 2.
- Group B (stations “b”, “c”, “d”, “e”, and “p”): These stations correspond to areas with cold winter nights, as their nighttime heating demand exceeds the network average by 6% (772 °C·day), with individual increases spanning from 4% at stations “c”, “d”, and “e” to 10% at “b” and “p”. In the summer period, as well as during winter daytime, this group does not exhibit homogeneous behavior. These stations are located in peripheral zones in the north, east, and south of the city, with dominant LCZ class 6 and substantial vegetation cover (mean land cover LCZ proportion: 48%, range 22–61%).
- Group A (sensors “k”, “l”, “m”, and “n”), which matches the same Group A in Figure 8, encompasses the areas with the lowest daytime–nighttime variability in both summer and winter. This variability is below the overall network mean for both seasons: on average, 30% lower in winter (ranging between 23% at “k” and 36% at “l”) and 14% in summer (spanning from 16% at “m” and “l”, to 11% at “k”). The mean variability of this group is 195 °C·day in winter and 352 °C·day in summer.
- Group B (sensors “b”, “c”, “d”, “e”, and “p”), corresponding to the same Group B in Figure 8, includes the areas with the highest thermal variability relative to the mean, being higher than the network mean value for both seasons: on average, 28% higher in winter (ranging from 23% at “d” and “p” to 37% at “c”) and 12% in summer (between 5% at “e” and 18% at “p”). The mean variability of this group is 356 °C·day in winter and 462 °C·day in summer.
7. Discussion
- Areas with higher vegetation cover and permeable surfaces, primarily classified as land cover LCZs, tend to exhibit an augmented heating demand, particularly during nocturnal periods in winter. Simultaneously, these regions undergo comparatively cool summer nights, while daytime periods register elevated cooling demand, especially in more urbanized areas dominated by LCZ 6, leading to substantial day–night thermal variability. The heightened daytime cooling demand could be associated with increased solar exposure due to low building heights and the absence of shading. Conversely, nocturnal temperature drops in both seasons could be attributable to enhanced nocturnal cooling due to the low heat absorption of organic surfaces [68,69], as well as increased airflow in open and exposed peripheral areas.
- In contrast, zones with a higher proportion of built-up LCZs exhibit a contrasting pattern, characterized by cooler daytime temperatures, warmer nighttime temperatures, and reduced daily thermal variability. The cooler daytime temperatures could result from extensive shading in compact mid-rise sectors, characteristic of LCZ 2 and 5, which reduce solar heat gains on urban surfaces. The phenomenon of warm nights could be attributed to the absorption and storage of heat due to solar radiation on inorganic surfaces, particularly in areas dominated by LCZ 2 and 3. These areas feature high thermal inertia materials, narrow streets, and limited ventilation, retaining daytime heat and reducing nocturnal thermal loss [70]. The presence of anthropogenic heat sources could further reinforce this pattern, particularly in the densest urban centers [71], thereby contributing to the emergence of UHIs. Consequently, warmer nights reduce heating requirements but increase the risk of cumulative overheating.
8. Conclusions
Author Contributions
Funding
Data Availability Statement
Conflicts of Interest
Abbreviations
| AEMET | Agencia Estatal de Meteorología |
| ASHRAE | American Society of Heating, Refrigerating and Air-Conditioning Engineers |
| CDD | Cooling Degree Days |
| CTE | Technical Building Code |
| DB-HE | Basic Document HE 'Energy Saving' |
| DD | Degree Days |
| DH | Degree Hours |
| EU | European Union |
| GIS | Geographic Information Systems |
| HDD | Heating Degree Days |
| HUZ | Homogeneous Urban Zones |
| HVAC | Heating, Ventilation and Air Conditioning |
| LCZ | Local Climate Zones |
| LTD | Long-Term Drift |
| NDVI | Normalized Difference Vegetation Index |
| nZEB | Nearly Zero Energy Building |
| UHI | Urban Heat Island |
| WMO | World Meteorological Organization |
| WUDAPT | World Urban Database and Access Portal Tools |
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| % | a* | b | c | d | e | f | g | h | i | j | k | l | m | n | o | p | q | r |
| W 1 | 96 | 94 | 95 | 95 | 95 | 95 | 86 | 90 | 95 | 68 | 79 | 88 | 94 | 95 | 93 | 90 | 95 | 79 |
| S 2 | 84 | 100 | 100 | 99 | 100 | 98 | 90 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 90 | 80 | 99 | 100 | 97 | 96 | 96 | 89 |
| HDD | CDD | |||||||
| Station | total | day | night | Dif *1 | total | day | night | Dif *1 |
| a* - AEMET | 687 | 546 | 807 | 261 | 634 | 763 | 419 | 344 |
| b | 676 | 474 | 847 | 373 | 675 | 856 | 373 | 483 |
| c | 630 | 424 | 804 | 380 | 704 | 878 | 414 | 464 |
| d | 646 | 461 | 802 | 341 | 687 | 853 | 409 | 444 |
| e | 647 | 460 | 806 | 346 | 672 | 834 | 401 | 433 |
| f | 625 | 471 | 755 | 284 | 681 | 819 | 450 | 369 |
| g | 618 | 446 | 763 | 317 | 687 | 843 | 429 | 414 |
| h | 662 | 519 | 784 | 265 | 642 | 804 | 373 | 431 |
| i | 616 | 485 | 727 | 242 | 677 | 817 | 443 | 374 |
| j | 648 | 529 | 748 | 219 | 626 | 768 | 389 | 379 |
| k | 630 | 514 | 727 | 213 | 663 | 800 | 434 | 366 |
| l | 633 | 537 | 714 | 177 | 650 | 780 | 433 | 347 |
| m | 620 | 512 | 711 | 199 | 633 | 763 | 416 | 347 |
| n | 648 | 544 | 736 | 192 | 657 | 788 | 439 | 349 |
| o | 647 | 501 | 771 | 270 | 635 | 790 | 378 | 412 |
| p | 691 | 506 | 847 | 341 | 636 | 818 | 331 | 487 |
| q | 657 | 501 | 788 | 287 | 645 | 818 | 357 | 461 |
| r | 667 | 520 | 792 | 272 | 595 | 757 | 325 | 432 |
| Mean ± SD | 645 ± 21 | 494 ± 34 | 772 ± 42 | 278 ± 65 | 657 ± 28 | 811 ± 35 | 400 ± 39 | 411 ± 48 |
| Difference*2 | 11% | 22% | 16% | 53% | 15% | 14% | 28% | 29% |
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